Hot or Hot Garbage? Breaking Down Fantasy Football Quarterbacks

Matt Hicks

Staff Writer, SEC and Fantasy Football

What do Case Keenum, Brian Hoyer, Jacoby Brisett, Deshaun Watson, and Jared Goff all have in common? They were QB1’s in Week 3. This week wasn’t an anomaly either; Week 2 featured Siemian, McCown, and Glennon as QB1’s and Week 1’s top performers included Alex Smith and DeShone Kizer making his NFL debut. To make matters worse Cam Newton, Marcus Mariota, Eli Manning, Phillip Rivers, Ben Roethlisberger, and Derek Carr are all outside of the Top 12 QBs this season. Jameis Winston, Carson Palmer, and Andy Dalton aren’t even QB2’s through the first 3 weeks. To put it simply, the Quarterback position is a full on dumpster fire.

Lucky for you, my life is a dumpster fire; this makes me uniquely qualified to help you navigate which quarterbacks are Hot and which quarterbacks are Hot Garbage. To get through as many as possible (and to keep this weak metaphor alive) I’m going through these….rapid fire.

Alex Smith: Hot

Smith is averaging more than 2 TDs per game, and has 0 INT. Note that he has 3 tough match-ups in his next 5 games (Washington, Pittsburg, & Denver). Great trade potential, QB2 with QB1 upside.

DeShone Kizer: Hot Garbage

I love a flashy dual threat just as much as the next fantasy player but Kizer has thrown 3 INT in each of his last 2 games (7 total). He’s also a Brown. Worth stashing in dynasty/keeper leagues but don’t start.

Cam Newton: Stinking Hot Garbage

I went on record for Cam pre-season. I believed in you Cam, you’re making me real sad Cam, why Cam…why. He doesn’t look healthy or comfortable running the ball. Don’t drop yet, but don’t start.

Matthew Stafford: Hot

We know Stafford can sling the ball, but he’s always been turnover prone. Through 3 weeks he only has 1 INT and is averaging 39 attempts per game. I like those numbers, I like Matty Stafford.

Jameis Winston: Hot Garbage

Only 204 yards in Week 1 and 3 INTs in Week 2. Winston also hasn’t used his legs; only 2 attempts for 7 yards so far. Maybe things will get better, but maybe they won’t. Bench option at best in 1 QB leagues.

Eli Manning: Smoldering Garbage

He was burning up fast in Weeks 1 and 2. Eli has no time in the backfield and it’s hurting his fantasy value. He has 39 attempts per game, and now has a healthy OBJ. Not back yet, but worth a bench spot.

Russell Wilson: Hot

Wilson had 2 tough match-ups early (Green Bay & San Francisco) but bounced back with 373 yards and 4 TDs this week. He looks like the old Russell, but some hesitation until we hear about Baldwin’s health.

Jared Goff: Luke Warm

We ran a Twitter poll 53% of people said Goff was the biggest QB shock this season, but I expected this to happen. He’s averaging 274 yards and almost 2 TDs a game. I’m not willing to mark him a QB1 yet, but he’s worth starting based on match-up, or if your other QBs are hot garbage.

About Matt Hicks

Matt’s writing at Top2 is focused on dynasty fantasy football. He loves blending his experience writing research in the field of education with fantasy football stats. Matt currently lives in Baltimore, MD and graduated from Eastern Connecticut State University and the University of Tennessee, Knoxville. You can follow Matt on Twitter: @Top2Matt

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