Week 13 Thursday Night Football Start/Sits

Matt Hicks, Staff Writer

Quarterbacks

Dak Prescott: Sit

Prescott hasn’t thrown a touchdown pass since November 5th. In the 3 games since, the Cowboys have lost Zeke, seen their offensive line collapse, and Prescott has fallen to pieces with them. He’s completed just 65% of his passes, is averaging 166 passing yards per game and has thrown 5 interceptions and coughed up 3 fumbles. To make matters worse, the Redskins defense has allowed the 10th least fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks over the last two weeks. There’s too much going wrong for the Cowboys offense to believe Dak’s going to turn it around this week; you need to sit him.

Kirk Cousins: Start

Cousins is an absolute difference maker this week. The consistently underrated Redskins quarterback is now QB5 on the season; above Drew Brees, Matt Ryan, and Cam Newton. Cousins is red hot; going 67-108 for 891 passing yards and 8 total touchdowns over the last three weeks. He’s up against a Dallas defense that’s given up the 6th most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season, and the 2nd most fantasy points over the last two weeks. Cousins is a must start, this week and throughout your playoff run.

Running Backs

Samaje Perine: Start

Perine finished as the 10th best fantasy running back in both Week 11 and Week 12. He’s racked up 217 rushing yards, 55 receiving yards, and a touchdown in those games. What’s makes him a true impact player is his volume: he’s gotten 47 carries in those two weeks. Dallas’ defense has also failed to stop the run this season; giving up the 12th most fantasy points to opposing running backs on the season and the 2nd most over the last two weeks. Perine should be viewed as a RB1 this week, making him a must start.

Alfred Morris: Start

Morris has struggled to gain fantasy relevance since taking over for Zeke in Week 10. He’s emerged as the lead back in Dallas but saw Rod Smith vulture a valuable touchdown from him in Week 12. What I like about Morris is his efficiency; he’s totaled 180 rushing yards on 37 carries to average 4.8 yards/carry. The Redskins are the 8th worst defense against fantasy running back this season; making this week a prime opportunity for Morris to breakout. He’s worth playing in your flex slot this week.

Rod Smith: Sit

Don’t get too excited over Rod Smith. He’s averaging just 3.3 yards/carry (1.5 yards/carry less than Morris). Since Zeke’s suspension he’s gotten just 20 carries, compared to Morris’ 37. Without his touchdown in Week 12 he’s be completely fantasy irrelevant. I’m not even considering starting Smith.

Wide Receivers

Jamison Crowder: Start

Crowder is an absolute must start in Week 13. Crowder jump started his season against Dallas in Week 8 where he caught 9 receptions for 123 yards. Since then he’s seen at least 8 targets in every game, has pulled in 18 of those targets and has put up at least 72 receiving yards in each of those games; including 141 yards in Week 12. You might be noticing a theme here but the Dallas defense has given up the 4th most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. Consider Crowder a low WR1/high WR2 this week, making him a must start in every line-up, but especially in PPR.

Josh Doctson: Start

Doctson has emerged as the WR2 in Washington. In his last four games he’s averaged 49.5 yards/game on an average of 5.75 targets. Doctson’s value shows up outside of the score box, though. If you’ve watched him play, you’ve seen a playmaker; just missing on multiple touchdown passes and creating pass interference calls near the end zone. I expect this to be Doctson’s breakout week, against the weak Dallas defense. He’s a sneaky flex play that could pay off big: I see him putting up at least 75 yards and a touchdown or two.

Dez Bryant: Sit

Don’t let Bryant’s name fool you; he’s WR30 on the season; making him a weekly play based on match-up. This week his match-up doesn’t add up to a flex play. Washington has allowed the 3rd least amount of fantasy points to opposing wide receivers over the last two weeks and the 8th least fantasy points on the season. Over the last 3 weeks he’s caught just 55% of his targets and is averaging just 8.17 yards/reception. Unless you’re in a very deep league, you need to leave Bryant on your bench.

Tight Ends

Jason Witten: Start

Witten has caught all 16 targets he’s seen since week 9, for a total of 115 yards. In this weak tight end year that production level is good enough to make him the TE13 on the season. Witten tends to be a boom or bust play, and has a great match-up this week. The Redskins have given up the 4th most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season. He’s not the most exciting pick, but his upside makes him worth a start if you’re struggling to find a decent option.

Vernon Davis: Start

Don’t panic! Davis laid the ultimate goose egg in Week 12 against a horrible Giants defense. Before that he pulled in 16 targets for 215 yards against Seattle, Minnesota, and New Orleans. He’s been surprisingly consistent; pulling in at least 58 yards in 7 of the 9 games which he’s had a significant role. Don’t let his one down week fool you, he’s a must start tight end in Week 13.

 

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Categories: Fantasy Football, Start/Sit

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