DFS Basketball: January 12th Slate

Ken Mahoney, Contributor from Turning 2 Sports (@Turning2Sports)

https://www.turningtwosports.com/ 

Welcome back! It’s time for another DFS Basketball preview, brought to you by Turning Two Sports, where we DO care about your fantasy team!

In order to set a perfect lineup on DraftKings, we want to look for players who will provide 5x their salary in returning point output. So if Steph Curry comes in at $9,000 and James Harden comes in at $9,600, Curry needs 45 points to return value while Harden needs 48. To think about it on the fly, just do this:

(Salary * .001 * 5) <= DFS Points

Now with that said, here is the overall record for the season. I’m considering a miss as anything less than 4x value (Blue snowflake on DraftKings). A hit is anything at or above 5x value (Red flame on DraftKings). Displayed below is the format “Hits – Misses”

Season Record: 153-103 (59.8% hit rate)

Top Game Stack: Houston Rockets (-7) @ Phoenix Suns: Over/Under 228.5

 

Point Guard

Darren Collison $4,900 – I can’t believe we’ve seen Collison’s price dip into the sub-5k range. While he hasn’t been abundantly flashy, he does go toe to toe with the Cavs tonight. The Cavaliers are dreadful against opposing point guards, which should be well known given the lack of defense prowess of Isaiah Thomas. Cleveland was destroyed by two backup Toronto point guards last night in the absence of Kyle Lowry, and Collison is easily a step above that crew. Target: 24.5

Jarrett Jack $4,600 – This man is red hot. Fade at your own risk! Seriously though, Jack has a fantastic matchup against a Timberwolves team that has struggled with opposing point guards all season. They rank 25th in DK points allowed to opposing point guards, and Jack is coming off the hottest game of his career that saw him go for 49.5 DK points in 40 minutes. If that doesn’t slot him at the top of the Knicks Point Guard depth chart, nothing will. Lock and load. Target: 23

 

Shooting Guard

Eric Gordon $7,400 – The first thing I saw when I looked at the slate tonight was money signs. I considered Chris Paul, but he’s well over 10k and that’s a bit scary. Despite his amazing play with Harden off the floor, 10k+ for CP3 just isn’t sitting right with me. Instead, give me Eric Gordon at a 3k discount. He’s been a superstar in Harden’s absence, having gone for back to back 40+ DK point games. He hasn’t come in below 29 DK points since Harden was active, making him a fantastic high floor, higher ceiling play for tonight’s slate. The Over/Under for this game is astronomical, and Devin Booker refuses to play defense. Target: 37

 

Small Forward

T.J. Warren $6,200 – There’s reason to consider Devin Booker in this spot, but much like CP3/Gordon my preference is to roll with the guy that is much cheaper, but offers similar upside. Warren is another guy who is constantly on the DFS radar. In nine of his last ten games, he’s been over 30 DK points, which is his sweet spot tonight. In a matchup with the Rockets, is there really any doubt that Warren is must start? Target: 31

Dragan Bender $4,300 – We have ourselves another Sun, and this one is going to be chalky. Chriss is out tonight, meaning Bender is going to start and see a ton of run at the power forward position. In his last game against the Thunder, Bender played 39 minutes and went off for 43 DK points, inevitably being a breadwinner for whoever rostered him. I won’t be left out tonight. Target: 21.5
Power Forward

DeMarcus Cousins $10,800 – Tough to decide between LeBron, Giannis, Paul, and Boogie tonight, but I think Boogie is the way to spend. LeBron is coming into a back to back, Giannis is in a volatile matchup with Golden State, and Paul’s price tag is very rich. Anthony Davis is questionable to play tonight, and if he misses I expect Cousins to be very chalky. He’s must start whenever Davis is off the floor. In order to drive ownership down, having Davis active wouldn’t be the worst thing. Davis and Cousins have shown to be DFS studs on the floor at the same time, and Cousins is one of the safest plays out there on any given night. Target: 54

JaMychal Green $4,700 – Green may be slightly under the radar at this point, but he warrants some consideration. He’s absolutely the go-to for Memphis at the four and has seen his minutes uptick over the past week. Most recently, he went off for 47 DK points in 34 minutes against the Pelicans. Tonight he gets the Nuggets, who don’t play sound interior defense. He’s right between 20-25 points for value, and he’s been there in five of his last six. Target: 23.5

 

Center

Clint Capela $7,100 – Finally, our center. We’re back to my favorite game of the slate. The Suns, yet again, are terrible defending centers. Stop me if you’ve heard that before. The Suns don’t play defense against anyone and are a constant recipient of bullying in my write-ups. Capela is having a career year, and as long as he gets his minutes he’ll easily get you 30+ DK points. In fact, he’s done that in nine of his last eleven. The two he didn’t get there, he still settled with a reasonable 29 and 24 DK points. That’s nothing to sneeze at. It’s the Suns, don’t overthink this one. Target: 35.5

 

Lineup 1:

PG – Darren Collison $4,900

SG – Eric Gordon $7,400

SF – T.J. Warren $6,200

PF – Dragan Bender $4,300

C – Clint Capela $7,100

G – Jarrett Jack $4,600

F – JaMychal Green $4,700

U – DeMarcus Cousins $10,800

 

Best of luck everyone. Thanks for reading and appreciate the support. Go make some money!



Categories: DFS, DFS-Fantasy Basketball, NBA

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