DFS Week 2: DRAFT Targets & Players to Avoid

Last week I helped guide you to a money winning Kamara and Brees stack and helped you avoid the temptation of Davante Adams. I’ll be helping you navigate this user-friendly and competitive way to play DFS every week this season. My advice is based on 6 team standard fast draft formats.

If you’re not familiar with DRAFT I highly encourage you to jump into your App store or Google Play store and download the most user-friendly and fun DFS app out there. My takes are a combination of stats, match-up analysis, and what I’ve seen drafting this week: to draft with me next week add me MattHicks15.

Quarterback

Favorite Play: Phillip Rivers (LAC) vs BUF

Rivers is coming off a big Week 1 performance, where he threw for 424 yards and 3 touchdowns. In Week 2 he faces off against a Buffalo defense that allowed 236 yards and 3 touchdowns to Joe Flacco, a quarterback that is largely an after thought in the minds of any rational fantasy football player. Rivers, however, is projected so low by DRAFT that he doesn’t appear in the top 8 quarterbacks that would appear on the draft screen; meaning you’ll likely be able to wait until round 5 to take a quarterback that very well could finish as the QB1 this week.

High Upside: Andrew Luck (IND) vs WAS

Luck threw the ball 53 times in Week 1, the most of any quarterback. He completed 39 of those attempts for 319 yards and 2 touchdowns. That was against a tough Bengals defense, now Luck gets a slightly easier match-up against Washington. The game-script should force Luck to throw the ball close to, if not more than he did in Week 1-making him a high upside play that can also be taken in the 5th round.

Do Not DRAFT: Aaron Rodgers (GB) vs MIN

Don’t get caught on Rodgers’ big name this week. There’s 14 other weeks I’ll advocate for starting Rodgers, but I cannot see him paying off for you against Minnesota. The Vikings allowed the least fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks last season and made Garoppolo look dismal in Week 1; holding him to 15-33, 261-yard, 1 TD and 3 INT stat line. Add in the unknown status on Rodgers’ knee, and you have a recipe for disaster. It may sound off but avoid Aaron Rogers this week.

Running Back

Favorite Play: Melvin Gordon (LAC) vs BUF

Spoiler alert: Rivers to Gordon is my favorite stack of the week. Gordon proved to be a dangerous dual-threat in Week 1, rushing for 64 yards on 15 carries and catching 9 of his 13 targets for 102 yards. This allowed Gordon to finish as RB3 overall, without scoring a touchdown. Last week, Buffalo allowed 3 rushing touchdowns-if Gordon gets 2 of those he’s nearly a lock to finish as the RB1 this week. It will be tough to turn down Kamara, but Gordon has a much better match-up.

Upside Target: Christian McCaffery (CAR) vs ATL

McCaffery is getting little hype following his quiet, but efficient performance in Week 1. McCaffery ran for 50 yards on just 10 carries and caught 6 of his 9 targets for 45 yards. That was in a game where Carolina struggled to keep their offense on the field. Now, the Panthers square off against a depleted Atlanta Falcons defense that will be missing Deon Jones, Keanu Neal, and possibly Isiah Oliver. I’ve been taking McCaffery consistently in the 4th round, making him a steal.

Do Not DRAFT: David Johnson (ARI) vs LAR

It will be hard to pass on this dynamic dual threat, but his match-up is too tough to justify spending a first round pick on. The Rams allowed just 84 yards on 19 combined carries from 3 Oakland running backs last week. Johnson saw just 9 carries in week 1, with Chase Edmonds getting 4 carries himself, and averaging 6 yards per carry with them. There will be plenty of weeks when you can draft Johnson and feel great about it, Week 2 is not one of those weeks.

Wide Receiver/Tight End

Favorite Play: Julio Jones (ATL) vs CAR

Jones saw 19 targets for Matt Ryan in Week 1, the most targets of any wideout. Jones pulled in 10 receptions (3rd highest amongst WRs) and 169 receiving yards (2nd highest amongst WRs). Jones saw 44% of Ryan’s targets, leaving him with a ton of upside in what I expect to be a shootout game. In 2017, Carolina allowed the 5th most points to opposing fantasy wide receivers. These factors make Jones a ridiculous value in the 2nd round-where I’ve picked him up multiple times.

Upside Target: Jarvis Landry (CLE) vs NO

Landry saw 15 of Tyrod Taylor’s 35 targets (33%) in Week 1. Landry caught 7 of Taylor’s 15 completions (46%). In Week 1, the Saints allowed 417 passing yards and 4 passing touchdowns to one of the least respected quarterbacks and receiving corps. in the NFL. Despite all of this, Landry is buried in DRAFT’s projections, making him an after thought for most players. I’m passing on guys like A.J. Green (below), Hilton, and Diggs to scroll down and grab the consistency and upside associated with Landry.

Do Not Draft: Mike Evans (TB) vs PHI

I know this is tempting: we finally saw flashes of the 2016 Mike Evans that we desperately missed last season. In Week 1, Evans caught all 7 of his targets for 147 Yards and 1 touchdown. Evans, however, faces off against a staunch Eagles defense in Week 2; a tougher match-up that also may lack DeSean Jackson-who is instrumental in helping take secondary pressure off Evans. Evans should contribute this week but not to the point where he’s a good play in DRAFT.

About Matt Hicks

Matt’s writing at Top2 is focused on dynasty fantasy football. He loves blending his experience writing research in the field of education with fantasy football stats. Matt currently lives in Baltimore, MD and graduated from Eastern Connecticut State University and the University of Tennessee, Knoxville. You can follow Matt on Twitter: @Top2Matt

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s