DFS Week 3: DRAFT Targets & Players to Avoid

Last week I helped guide you to running back glory while avoiding the fantasy tragedy that is currently David Johnson. I’ll be helping you navigate this user-friendly and competitive way to play DFS every week this season. My advice is based on 6 team standard fast draft formats.

If you’re not familiar with DRAFT I highly encourage you to jump into your App store or Google Play store and download the most user-friendly and fun DFS app out there. My takes are a combination of stats, match-up analysis, and what I’ve seen drafting this week: to draft with me next week add me MattHicks15.

Quarterback

Favorite Play: Kirk Cousins (MIN) vs BUF

Cousins was disrespected in season-long drafts all off-season and it’s no different in DFS. Cousins, the current QB3, has a very juicy match-up a hapless Bills defense that is so bad they literally made their best defensive back retire. Through two weeks, Cousins is 55-84 for 669 passing yards and 6 touchdowns, with just 1 interception. Buffalo has given up 492 passing yards and 6 touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks in Weeks 1 and 2; the 4th highest amount of fantasy points given up to opposing quarterbacks. Yet, I’ve snagged Cousins in the 5th round (when you should take a QB) in every draft I’ve done so far this week. Cousins is easily my favorite play this week.

High Upside: Matt Ryan (ATL) vs NO

Ryan is less likely to be targeted, even by savvy DRAFT players. Ryan, however, bounced back in Week 2 against a tough Carolina defense by going 23-28 for 272 yards and 4 total touchdowns. Ryan’s playing against the Saints, who do not appear to be the defensive powerhouse they were in 2017. The Saints have allowed the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season-with early season match-ups against Ryan Fitzpatrick and Tyrod Taylor. Ryan’s got all the upside you could need if you get burned waiting too long on the quarterback position.

Do Not DRAFT: Deshaun Watson (HOU) vs NYG

Watson’s coming off a hot performance against a run-down Tennessee defense. Watson threw for 310 yards and 2 touchdowns while completing 22 of his 32 passing attempts. Watson, however, is not the dual-threat that we fell in love with last season, he’s rushed the ball just 13 times in his first two weeks for 84 yards-and has not found the endzone. Without the ability to make an impact outside the pocket, Watson’s upside on DRAFT is severely limited. Watson is playing against a New York Giants secondary that’s allowed the 7th least fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

Running Back

Favorite Play: Todd Gurley (LAR) vs LAC

It’s a coinflip for me between Kamara and Gurley. Gurley, however, is coming off a game where he rushed for just 42 yards on 19 carries-he did, however, see the endzone 3 times. Gurley was also quickly unneeded in a blow-out win against Arizona. Kamara dropped out of DRAFT relevance quickly last week (RB11) when he failed to find the end zone. Kamara is playing Atlanta-who did not allow a touchdown to Christian McCaffery and held Zeke under 75 yards. Gurley’s match-up is less intimidating: the Chargers have given up the 9th most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season; that is despite the fact they’ve only played against Kareem Hunt and the smattering of running backs Buffalo rotated through.

Upside Target: Jordan Howard (CHI) vs ARI

Running backs are going to go quick in your drafts this week-making upside a critical element of cashing. Howard’s projection is confusingly low this week-which is good for you. Howard has compiled 117 rushing yards, 8 receptions, and 58 receiving yards in two tough early season match-ups against Green Bay and Seattle. This week, however, Howard faces off against an Arizona defense that’s allowed the most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. In Week 1, the Cardinals were shredded through the air by Chris Thompson, and in between the tackles by Peterson. In Week 2, Gurley piled up the touchdowns on them. In Week 3, I expect Howard to attack them on the ground, through the air, and by finding the endzone-the perfect storm of fantasy upside.

Do Not DRAFT: David Johnson (ARI) vs CHI

I try not to repeat my picks, but I can’t not tell you avoid David Johnson again this week. He’s being completely underutilized in an offense that can’t stay on the field or find the endzone. David Johnson, the current RB44, has just 21 attempts and 11 targets through the first two weeks. He’s totaling just 118 total yards and 1 touchdown. That 1 touchdown is also Arizona’s only touchdown so far this season. Things won’t get an easier for him this week against a Chicago defense that’s allowed the least fantasy points to opposing running backs this season.

Wide Receiver/Tight End

Favorite Play: Stephon Diggs/Adam Thielen (MIN) vs BUF

You absolutely need at least one of these guys in every DFS line-up you play this week. On DRAFT, it’s also feasible to draft both of them (I did in one line-up so far). Buffalo has allowed the 14th most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, despite facing a committee of average Baltimore wideouts in Week 1. Diggs and Thielen are both playable: Diggs is 9-13 for 128 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Thielen is 12-13 for 131 yards and 1 touchdown. Pick either, or both, stack them with Cousins and win cash; easy.

Upside Target: Mike Evans (TB) vs PIT

Evans is ranked as WR13 on DRAFT this week, making him a sneaky 4th or 5th round target. Evans is getting less hype than his fashion forward teammate DeSean Jackson, but he’s caught 17 of his 19 targets for 230 yards and 2 touchdowns the first two weeks. That includes at least 7 receptions, 83 yards, and a touchdown in each game-proving he’s got upside and a safe floor. He’s also facing off against a Steelers defense that’s allowed 523 yards and 7 touchdowns to opposing wideouts so far this season. A rough 2017 has put his name in doubt, but you should have no fear playing him this week.

Do Not DRAFT: Rob Gronkowski (NE) vs DET

The tight end position is easy to fade on DRAFT (it’s one of the platforms best perks, in my opinion) but Gronk is the one guy who’s always tempting to bite on. After a solid Week 1 outing (7 receptions, 123 yards, 1 touchdown) Gronk ghosted his believers in Week 2: catching just 2 balls for 15 yards. Although the Lions defense has looked rough the first two weeks, they’re middle of pack in allowing fantasy points to opposing tight ends, including shutting down a much-hyped George Kittle in Week 2. Gronk is sure to bounce back in Week 2, but not enough to get him into the top 12 WRs/TEs.

About Matt Hicks

Matt’s writing at Top2 is focused on dynasty fantasy football. He loves blending his experience writing research in the field of education with fantasy football stats. Matt currently lives in Baltimore, MD and graduated from Eastern Connecticut State University and the University of Tennessee, Knoxville. You can follow Matt on Twitter: @Top2Matt

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