DFS: 27 Top Targets, Values, & Bargain Bin Picks for Week 10

QUARTERBACK

Patrick Mahomes: vs ARI (DK 7200; FD 9800)

The only concern here is the entire Kansas City team looking forward to the Mexico City showdown and potential Super Bowl matchup with the Rams next Monday night.  Yet, whenever there has been potential a trouble spot on the schedule, Patrick Mahomes has proven the doubters wrong and it shouldn’t be any different this week.  300+ passing yards in eight straight games along with at least three passing touchdowns in the last four, should I go any further?  Mahomes is a must-start each and every week, just like Todd Gurley, Adam Thielen, and Travis Kelce.

Philip Rivers: at OAK (DK 6000; FD 8200)

Since Amari Cooper played his final snap as a Raider before being dealt to the Cowboys, Oakland is losing by an average of 23 points per game.   The Raiders are in full tank mode and if a third string quarterback can throw for three touchdowns, why can’t Philip Rivers?  Oakland has allowed three touchdown passes in its last three games and if the secondary struggled with the 49ers receiving corps, imagine how much pain a much more talented Chargers group will inflict.  Add in the receiving capabilities of Melvin Gordon and Austin Ekeler and it gives Rivers several avenues towards success in the second meeting between these divisional foes.

Ryan Fitzpatrick: vs WAS (DK 5900; FD 7600)

This matchup features a Tampa Bay offense that posts the 3rd fewest rushing yards per game against a Washington defense that allows the 5th fewest rushing yards per game.  This should create additional passing attempts from Ryan Fitzpatrick against a team that not only allowed Matt Ryan to throw for 300 yards but also Eli Manning in the last two games.  In selecting Fitzpatrick, you accept that he will turn the ball over at some point as he has done so in all but one game that he was the starter.   However, he has thrown for either a minimum of 400 yards or three touchdowns in those four games and is a solid option at his salary on both sites.

RUNNING BACK

Melvin Gordon: at OAK (DK 9000; FD 8900)

As terrible as the Raiders have been against the pass, they have been equally awful against the run and as a double digit favorite heading into the Black Hole, Melvin Gordon is positioned to touch the ball quite a bit in this game.  He’s averaging at least 100 scrimmage yards and a touchdown in his last three against the Raiders and it aligns well for Gordon to make it a fourth straight game doing so.  Start him with absolute confidence as he possesses one of the highest touchdown expectancies this week. 

Kareem Hunt: vs ARI (DK 8500; FD 9000)

The Arizona defense has been shredded by running backs on the ground as it hasn’t allowed any opponent to rush for fewer than 88 yards on top of the 10 rushing touchdowns surrendered by this group.  Kareem Hunt has scored seven touchdowns in the last three weeks and like the aforementioned Melvin Gordon, he also has an outstanding chance of crossing the pylons.  Opponents have played to Arizona’s glaring weakness and it’s safe to expect the Chiefs to implement that same gameplan.

Tevin Coleman: at CLE (DK 5400; FD 7300)

Three of the last four games have featured the Cleveland defense being slaughtered by either Melvin Gordon, James Conner, or Kareem Hunt.  Tevin Coleman doesn’t need to be either of those guys to return value especially at his low price point on DraftKings but if he can get to 20 touches in a game the Falcons should win, that will suffice.  He has proven effective out of the backfield for the majority of his time in Atlanta and given that the Browns have struggled against both running backs on the ground and through the air, Coleman should have a productive day in Cleveland.

Dion Lewis: vs NE (DK 4600; FD 5800)

He should have extra motivation this weekend as he faces the team he won a Super Bowl with in 2016.  Dion Lewis should enjoy success against a New England defense that has allowed the 4th most catches and 2nd most yards to running backs out of the backfield.  The Patriots should be able to jump out to a lead where Lewis will need to work out of negative gamescript and see coveted receptions in DraftKings full PPR scoring system.  He’s seen 20 more touches than Derrick Henry in Tennessee’s prior two games and considering Henry is hardly utilized out of the backfield, Lewis is the Titan running back to roster this week.

WIDE RECEIVER

Julio Jones: at CLE (DK 8300; FD 8700)

And it’s not because he scored a touchdown for the first time in nearly a calendar year.  E.J. Gaines was put on IR, Denzel Ward and Damarious Randall are banged up, and Phillip Gaines was claimed off waivers after a horrible stint in Buffalo.  Indeed, this Cleveland secondary is a mess and one Julio Jones can slaughter on his own.  He’s seeing 11.4 targets per game in his last five games as the Atlanta offensive staff continues to find ways to use their most prolific player.  He’s gone for over 100 yards in four of the last five and there is a great expectation in this game for him to make it five of six along with a touchdown for the second week in a row.

Tyler Boyd: vs NO (DK 7500; FD 7800)

As long as the Saints continue to roll out slot corner P.J. Williams, attacking the Saints through the slot receiver will be a continuing trend.  Tyler Boyd has been dominant at Paul Brown Stadium, averaging 20.83 FPPG in PPR scoring along with a +6.33 FPPG differential in home games.  He has slaughtered the other three NFC South opponents to the tune of 26 receptions for 370 yards and 2 touchdowns and with A.J. Green expected miss this game, it should filter additional targets in Boyd’s direction.  Hopefully the Bengals keep him in the slot and let John Ross and Alex Erickson work the outside because if that occurs, it’s just another dream matchup for the young receiver in his breakout 2018 campaign.

Josh Gordon: at TEN (DK 6000; FD 6700)

The Patriots will certainly look to exploit their former cornerback that they benched in the penultimate game of 2018.  No team gives up more fantasy points to receivers lined up on the left side of the ball than the Titans and that’s where Josh Gordon spends nearly 60% of his snaps.  He’s developed a chemistry with Tom Brady as he’s averaging eight targets in the last four games and this matchup against Butler is as good as it gets.  His affordable salary on both sites makes him a viable option to do some serious damage this week.

Maurice Harris: at TB (DK 3900; FD 5900)

I’m not one to chase fantasy points but the injuries on the offensive side of the ball for the Redskins are plentiful.  Paul Richardson is on IR, Jamison Crowder hasn’t played since week 5, and Chris Thompson has already been declared inactive for week 10.  It’s shaping up for Maurice Harris to once again play a pivotal role against a Buccaneers defense that surrenders the most FPA to slot receivers.  Definitely check up on the Friday injury report and Sunday inactives to see if Jamison Crowder suits up on Sunday because if he is also inactive, Harris is in an even better spot to see additional targets and too cheap to pass up.

TIGHT END

Travis Kelce: vs ARI (DK 7000; FD 8000)

The Cardinals have given up the 6th fewest FPA to tight ends but if you look inside the numbers, they haven’t faced many names of note.  Arizona allowed 10 catches for 140 yards in two meetings to George Kittle, a tight end that commands respect.  Travis Kelce is in a tier above Kittle and in an offense that is capable of moving down the field at a moments notice, he’s worth the high price of admission.  At minimum, he’s caught five passes for 60 yards in all but one game and in a tight end position of such weekly uncertainty, Kelce provides a good amount of clarity.

Benjamin Watson: at CIN (DK 3400; FD 5900)

There’s such a disparity in the pricing for the Saints tight end between both sites that it certainly stands out against a Cincinnati defense that has struggled against the position.  Not to mention having Drew Brees throw Benjamin Watson the ball in a game with the highest total on the main slate and it makes him a solid play on both sites but absolutely on DraftKings.  He’s good for four targets per game and has an opportunity to find the end zone in this game as the Bengals have allowed five touchdowns to the tight end through eight games.

Chris Herndon: vs BUF (DK 3100; FD 5500)

In what has been a committee at the position for the Jets, Chris Herndon has been the tight end that has stood out in the last four weeks, averaging 2.75 catches for 44 yards and .75 touchdowns.  The Buffalo defense has been more susceptible to tight ends on the road as it allows 13.42 FPPG to the position in road games.  It’s a slight punt but a punt that could pay off with a score, something Herndon has done in three of his last four games.

DEFENSE

Los Angeles Chargers: at OAK (DK 3500; FD 4700)

After allowing 30 points per game in their first four contests, the Chargers have sliced that figure in half, allowing 15 points in their last four.  Easier competition has a lot to do with it and it doesn’t get easier than an Oakland team that has scored an average of 11 points in their last four and just a field goal in two of their last three.

New York Jets: vs BUF (DK 3400; FD 4900)

As long as Josh Allen is unable to play, as I explained last week and will do so again: NATHAN PETERMAN.  Not to mention Josh McCown shouldn’t turn the ball over as much as Sam Darnold and give the Buffalo offense shorter fields to work with.

Kansas City: vs ARI (DK 3300; FD 4600)

The Arizona offense has turned the ball over multiple times in three straight along with fantasy defenses scoring double digit points in five of eight games.  They also welcome back must needed help in the secondary with safety Daniel Sorensen activated from IR.

PRICE SHOPPING

Each week, I will identify what players are bargains based on the salary cap percentage difference they represent on the respective site.  Here are the notable week 10 bargains from both sites

NOTABLE DRAFTKINGS BARGAINS

QB Matt Ryan: 1.76

RB Tevin Coleman: 1.36

WR Maurice Harris: 2.06

TE Benjamin Watson: 3.03

TE Chris Herndon: 2.96

DEF Los Angeles Rams: 1.7

NOTABLE FANDUEL BARGAINS

RB Melvin Gordon: 3.17

RB David Johnson: 2.1

WR Tyler Boyd: 2

WR Cooper Kupp: 1.97

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